Dissuasion or persuasion, President Kabila has lost sight.
I am shocked since Joseph kabila the new DRC elected president gave an ultimatum of seven days to General Kunda, rebel renegade who threaten the east of DRC since 2005. I think it’s irrational to think that non coercive measures would have effect on someone who gains from war. I am upset to see that Kabila still reading the International Right literally.
An historical background reveals that the eastern Congolese crisis is among complex conflicts on the International scene. This is due to the fact that the issue of citizenship in DRC especially at the east with ethnics such as Tutsi and Bania Mulenge originated from neighbourhood countries, is not an easy task. To make thing worse, even both; President Kabila and Kunda’s citizenship have been questioned by most Congolese politics as both are suspected to belonging to the ethnic Tutsi of Rwanda. Nevertheless, this is not my focus.
My point is that Kunda has been defying the democratic process in DRC since all belligerents in Congolese civil war were in negotiation talk. Last week he decided to attack the North-east of the Kivu province, pushing thousands of population out of their town. Unfortunately for him things have changed. It’s well-known that Kunda’s hope lays on Rwanda’s unofficial military support which he did not have at least till yesterday.
The Congolese National army counterattacked last weekend and it seems that more and more rebels are killed or disarm to join the national force. Consequently, Kunda is no more arrogant.
Therefore, personally I think that this is an opportunity for Kabila and his generals to extend an effective territorial sovereignty by writing of this rebellion. By saying so I may look less humanitarian but we all know that there is International Right on one hand and International Fact on the other. Time has come when the fear you generate talks louder then words you proclaim. It is a fact that on the international scene those who have dissuasive force (nuclear or technical) are not challenged. We all know I suppose, why the USA cannot attack the Republic of Nord Korea or Iran unilaterally as they did in Iraq?
Nowadays the principle is this: do quickly what you can to gain respect and establish your self before the UN Security Counsel or U.S secret agencies get you on the spot.
Nowadays the principle is this: do quickly what you can to gain respect and establish your self before the UN Security Counsel or U.S secret agencies get you on the spot.
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